The Death of “Big Bang” TGEs? 🔎
Justin Vogel ( @jkey_eth ) from Safary claimed that “Big bang TGEs are dead,” arguing that most hyped token launches in the past 18 months crashed within days, while quieter, conviction-led launches like Virtuals or Zora performed better.
> His takeaway: protocols should focus on adoption before launching and reward long-term believers.
Haseeb ( @hosseeb ) pushed back, saying the analysis is too shallow to prove anything. He noted that many successful tokens came from “strong TGEs,” and that the sample size ignores thousands of weak launches.
> For him, “launch small and accrue value over time” isn’t a real strategy, it’s luck dressed as wisdom.
Still, both agree the current market favors fundamentals over frenzy. With liquidity flowing into equities, altcoin TGEs face tougher conditions.
> Haseeb’s closing advice: stop treating token price as your scorecard, focus on users and products, and remember that good projects eventually find their moment, just not always right away.

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